Pardon me, but I think the biggest winner in any vote held in the U.S. over the past 24 hours was Goose Gossage, who
made it to Cooperstown with 85.8% of
the vote. Jim Rice and Andre Dawson will have to wait another year, and former Expo Tim Raines had a good first showing at 24.3%. As in all American elections there are anomalies. Someone voted for Todd Stottlemyre.
Some thoughts about New Hampshire -
1. Remember several months ago when everyone was counting
John McCain out? Well around the same time, the same pundits were counting
Al Gore in? After the Oscars, and the Nobel nomination, and the prolonged movie screening tour, and a new book on the way, and with the nostalgia of his 2000 "defeat" in high gear, poll after poll showed Americans cared about global warming and Democrats
believed Al Gore would ignite any pending primary race. Remember that? Anyone?
Ok, now go back and revisit the candidates' speeches from Iowa, and from New Hampshire. Check out the issue-based exit polling from last week's caucus and last night's primary that CNN spewed out every five minutes. See if you can find the word "environment" anywhere. It's been a complete non-issue to date, and might offer a partial explanation for Gore's early decision to stay out of the race. The environment
remains a top issue in Canadian polls, but one has to wonder...
2. Theories abound on why Clinton won, or why the predicted Obama margin of victory (in some instances as high as 13 per cent) never transpired. Most theories out there make more sense than anything I can offer up, but here it is in a nutshell:
- You can only put so much free gas in a small car. Momentum can't beat organization all on its own, especially when you are relying on younger voters;
- The fact that I prefer a Teen Burger over a Mama Burger at A&W is irrelevant if I'm in line for a Big Mac at McDonalds. Convincing an independent to choose Obama over Clinton might be easy, but meaningless if they're casting a Republican primary ballot for McCain, or voting to stop a religious zealot like Huckabee, or whatever. If Obama is relying on Independents in close states, he's going to be disappointed as long as the Republican race remains so up in the air, and contains viable nutbars. This is particularly true in those states where the primaries or caucuses of both parties are held simultaneously. Last I checked, that's most of 'em.
3. Why is
this news? And if it
is news, is it an illustration - in reverse of a certain midas touch?
4. The
Globe (and I suspect countless other Canadian papers) are choc-full of New Hampshire primary coverage today. I challenge anyone to find a comparable effort by any of our daily papers to devote as much ink to explaining how political parties in Canada choose their respective "nominees" in the leadup to any of their conventions. Bonus points to anyone who can find a single article in the past 30 years which extols the importance of, say, the selection of New Brunswick leadership delegates in the grand scheme of choosing an eventual Canadian Prime Minister. New Brunswick, by the way, represents a much larger chunk of Canada than New Hampshire does of the United States. These may be poor examples of a greater idea - the notion that as these primary races progress in the United States, the number of Canadians who can accurately describe how a presidential candidate is chosen in the United States for either party will likely - by the time November roles around - far outnumber those who can adequately describe how Canadian leaders of any party are selected. Food for thought.